Analysis of specific transcriptional regulators as early predictors of independent prognostic relevance in resected colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE Prognostic studies on transcription factors acting at specific promoter elements have never been done so far. However, in tumors with long necessary follow-up, such as colorectal cancer, early-risk predictors would be needed. The invasion-related gene u-PAR is regulated via an activator protein 2 (AP-2)/Sp1 (-152/-135) and an AP-1 binding promoter motif (-190/-171), mediating u-PAR induction by K-Ras and Src. The present study was done to give first evidence for early prognostic relevance of transcription factors differentially bound to the u-PAR promoter, and their molecular inducers, in colorectal cancer. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN Tumor/normal tissues of 92 prospectively followed (median = 26.3 months) patients were analyzed for Src activity/protein, K-ras mutations, and transcription factor binding to both u-PAR promoter motifs (in vivo gel shift, kinase assay, and PCR). RESULTS Kaplan-Meier/Mantel-Cox analysis showed a significant correlation among elevated Sp1/Sp3 binding to region -152/-135 (P = 0.002 and P = 0.006), the combinations of Sp1/AP-2 and Sp1/AP-1 binding to both motifs (P = 0.010 and P = 0.005), and Sp1 binding/high Src protein in tumors (P < 0.001), with poor survival. Survival decreased with the number of bound transcription factors to both motifs, with binding of three factors defining a high-risk group (P = 0.021). In multivariate analysis, elevated Sp1 binding, combinations of Sp1/AP-2 binding and Sp1/AP-1 binding, or Sp1 binding/high Src were independent prognostic variables; u-PAR expression itself being not yet prognostic. A first molecular staging model (CART) was defined, providing novel early high-risk groups (mean survival time as low as for non-curatively resected patients) from these variables. CONCLUSIONS This study defines transcription factors acting at specific promoter elements of an invasion-related gene, mediating specific signaling, as novel, independent, early predictors of prognosis in colorectal cancer.